Bitcoin Price Prediction 2025-2040: Bullish Long-Term Outlook Amid Short-Term Turbulence

#BTC

• Technical Outlook: MACD bullish divergence suggests accumulation despite current price weakness
• Institutional Catalyst: MicroStrategy/Metaplanet's billion-dollar BTC buys signal corporate confidence
• Macro Risks: U.S. debt concerns may drive hedge demand but create short-term volatility

BTC Price Prediction

BTC Technical Analysis: Short-Term Bearish Pressure But Bullish Divergence Emerging

According to BTCC financial analyst Mia, Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at, below its 20-day moving average of $106,568.19, indicating short-term bearish momentum. However, the MACD shows a bullish crossover (1707.88 vs. -563.68), and the Bollinger Bands suggest BTC is testing support near $101,836.14. 'The technical setup reveals a tug-of-war,' says Mia. 'While the price is below the MA, the MACD and accumulation trends hint at potential bullish divergence.'

Market Sentiment: Institutional Bitcoin Adoption Grows Despite Price Volatility

BTCC's Mia highlights conflicting signals in crypto headlines:and Metaplanet's aggressive BTC accumulation contrast with regulatory uncertainty (UK's FCA limiting retail ETFs). 'Institutional adoption is accelerating,' Mia notes, 'but macroeconomic fears—like Elon Musk's $2.4T debt warning—are capping rallies near $104K.' Tokenized RWA growth (+260% in 2025) suggests crypto is maturing beyond speculation.

Factors Influencing BTC’s Price

Bitcoin Price Plunge Amid Market Turbulence: Key Factors and Outlook

Bitcoin tumbled 5.2% to $100,345 overnight, dragged down by leveraged position liquidations and geopolitical tensions. Whale investor James Wynn saw $16.14 million in long positions evaporate, emblematic of the market's violent shakeout.

The selloff gained momentum as US-China trade tensions resurfaced, compounded by a new executive order from former President Trump imposing steep tariffs on steel and aluminum. These macro headwinds rattled crypto markets already nursing losses from the Elon Musk-Donald Trump public feud.

Despite the carnage, Bitcoin showed resilience with a 3% rebound on June 6th as US-China trade talks were announced. The recovery suggests the bull market's structural foundations remain intact, though volatility persists.

Tokenized Real-World Assets (RWAs) Surge 260% in 2025 as Crypto Matures into Financial Mainstay

The tokenized real-world assets (RWA) market has skyrocketed by 260% in the first half of 2025, reaching nearly $23 billion in valuation. What began as a niche blockchain experiment has evolved into a cornerstone of institutional finance, fueled by regulatory clarity in the U.S. and seamless integration between traditional markets and decentralized infrastructure.

Private credit leads the charge, commanding 58% of RWA tokenization volume, with U.S. debt instruments trailing at 34%. The blockchain's ability to fractionalize, trace, and automate these assets via smart contracts has transformed theoretical potential into tangible financial products. Investors now access bond and credit markets with unprecedented flexibility.

Bitcoin and RWA tokenization now form dual pillars of corporate treasury strategies. This paradigm shift underscores crypto's transition from speculative asset class to essential financial plumbing—where programmable ownership meets institutional-grade compliance.

Bitcoin's Technical Rebound Faces Bearish Resistance Near $104K

Bitcoin's recovery to nearly $104,000 from an overnight low of $104.30 mirrors tentative gains in U.S. equity futures, yet technical patterns suggest the bounce lacks conviction. The cryptocurrency remains trapped in a head-and-shoulders breakdown, with the current uptick representing a retest of the neckline—a classic setup for renewed selling pressure.

Early profit-taking by short sellers has fueled the rebound, but fresh bearish positions are likely to emerge at resistance. The $107,000 level now serves as a critical pivot: a decisive break higher would invalidate the bearish pattern and refocus attention on record highs, while failure could extend the correction toward $100,000 or even $95,500 support.

MicroStrategy Prices $1B Preferred Stock Offering to Fund Bitcoin Acquisitions

MicroStrategy (MSTR) has priced its 10% Series A Perpetual Stride Preferred Stock (STRD) offering, aiming to raise approximately $979.7 million after fees. The proceeds will be allocated toward general corporate purposes, including additional Bitcoin purchases. The firm remains the largest corporate holder of BTC.

The STRD shares offer a fixed 10% annual dividend yield—the highest among MicroStrategy's capital products—but carry greater risk than its STRF and STRK offerings. Unlike cumulative dividends, STRD payments are non-cumulative and subject to board approval. Redemption is restricted except for specific tax or corporate structure events.

MicroStrategy shares rose 1.7% to $375 in pre-market trading following the announcement. The offering settles June 10, reinforcing the company's aggressive BTC accumulation strategy amid institutional demand for crypto exposure.

FCA Proposes Allowing Retail Crypto ETNs in the UK, But Spot ETFs Remain Off the Table

The UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has taken a significant step toward broadening retail access to crypto investments. In a June 6 announcement, the regulator proposed lifting its ban on crypto exchange-traded notes (ETNs) for retail investors, provided these debt instruments are listed on recognized investment exchanges and comply with financial promotion rules.

While this move signals growing regulatory acceptance, important limitations remain. The proposal specifically excludes spot Bitcoin ETFs—the type that directly hold cryptocurrency as underlying assets and have gained traction in the US market. Crypto ETNs, by contrast, are unsecured debt securities that track digital asset prices without holding the underlying coins.

The FCA emphasized that robust safeguards would accompany any approval, including stringent risk disclosure requirements and restrictions on promotional incentives. These measures mirror existing protections for direct digital asset sales, suggesting the regulator remains cautious despite its progressive stance.

Metaplanet Ramps Up Bitcoin Strategy with Aggressive Share Sales

Metaplanet, Japan's answer to MicroStrategy, has unveiled an ambitious plan to accelerate its Bitcoin acquisitions through a massive share issuance. The firm will sell approximately 555 million shares via moving-strike warrants, targeting at least $5.4 billion in capital—marking Japan's largest such offering. Proceeds will fuel further BTC purchases as the company eyes a long-term goal of 210,000 BTC by 2027.

The warrant structure minimizes shareholder dilution while positioning Metaplanet to climb the ranks of corporate Bitcoin holders—it already sits among the top 10 globally. This move signals growing institutional conviction in cryptocurrency as a treasury asset, with Japanese firms now joining Western counterparts in aggressive accumulation strategies.

Strategy Boosts $STRD Offering to $1 Billion to Fund More Bitcoin Buys

Michael Saylor's Strategy has significantly expanded its capital-raising ambitions, increasing a planned $STRD offering from $250 million to $1 billion. The proceeds will fuel additional Bitcoin acquisitions, underscoring institutional conviction in the cryptocurrency's long-term value proposition.

The company priced 11.76 million shares of its 10% Series A Perpetual Stride Preferred Stock at $85 per share on June 5, 2025. Net proceeds of approximately $979.7 million will support corporate initiatives and expansion strategies, with Bitcoin accumulation remaining a core priority.

Metaplanet Launches $5.4B Bitcoin Equity Raise, Targets 210k BTC Holdings

Metaplanet has unveiled Asia's largest Bitcoin-focused equity raise, aiming to accumulate 210,000 BTC through a ¥770.9 billion ($5.4 billion) capital raise. The Tokyo-based firm issued 555 million shares via moving strike warrants, with CEO Simon Gerovich positioning the company among Bitcoin's top ten corporate holders after acquiring 1,088 BTC for $117.5 million this week.

The capital markets push follows Metaplanet's ¥50 billion bond issuance in May and its "210 Million Plan" that raised $650 million in 60 trading days. Warrant pricing adjusts dynamically to market performance, with the initial strike price set at ¥1,388 per share—a premium to recent closes. The structured offering leverages Metaplanet's trading liquidity and volatility to attract institutional capital.

With 8,888 BTC now on its balance sheet, Metaplanet joins MicroStrategy and Tesla in making cryptocurrency a core treasury asset. The six- to ten-month fundraising window coincides with growing corporate adoption of Bitcoin as both inflation hedge and strategic reserve.

Could Elon Musk “Tank the Dollar” with $100B Bitcoin Buy?

Elon Musk, the Tesla CEO renowned for his market-moving antics, has sparked fresh speculation in the crypto sphere. Robert Leshner, founder of Compound, quipped that Musk might be on the verge of acquiring $100 billion worth of Bitcoin—a move that could dramatically tighten supply and rattle the U.S. dollar.

Musk’s recent criticism of a House tax bill, which he labeled fiscally irresponsible, adds fuel to the fire. Leshner’s tongue-in-cheek suggestion imagines Musk deploying Bitcoin as a hedge against dollar weakness and soaring deficits.

With Bitcoin’s circulating supply already at 19.87 million coins, a $100 billion purchase would likely trigger seismic shifts in liquidity and exchange dynamics. Tesla’s existing Bitcoin holdings only amplify the intrigue.

Bitcoin Accumulation Rises Despite Price Weakness—Is a Bullish Divergence in the Making?

Bitcoin's price shows signs of recovery after a sharp decline threatened to push it below $100,000. Despite mounting selling pressure following a failed attempt to breach the $106K-$107K resistance zone, accumulation trends suggest underlying strength. The realized profit metric, which peaked at $3 billion earlier this year before dropping to $250 million, has rebounded to $1.5 billion in May—hinting at renewed investor interest.

Glassnode data reveals a shift from distribution to modest buying across wallet cohorts, indicating sustained demand even during periods of price fragility. Market volatility remains elevated, with Bitcoin twice testing new highs this year before retreating. The current stabilization near $100K could signal the formation of a bullish divergence, where accumulation outpaces short-term price action.

Elon Musk Warns Trump Tax Cuts May Inflate U.S. Debt by $2.4 Trillion, Echoing Bitcoin Advocates

Elon Musk has amplified concerns about U.S. fiscal sustainability, stating that Donald Trump’s tax cuts could exacerbate the national debt by $2.4 trillion. The Tesla CEO’s tweet—"If America goes broke, nothing else matters"—resonates with Bitcoin proponents who have long criticized unchecked government spending.

The U.S. debt now stands at $36 trillion, with annual interest payments reaching $1.13 trillion. As faith in traditional finance wanes, investors increasingly turn to Bitcoin and gold as hedges against potential fiscal collapse. Foreign demand for U.S. Treasuries has plummeted amid record debt rollovers and a $1.9 trillion deficit forecast for 2025.

Musk’s intervention lends credence to the argument that repeated debt ceiling hikes merely postpone inevitable reckoning. The scenario mirrors Bitcoiners’ warnings about fiat system fragility—a narrative gaining traction as institutional interest in crypto surges.

BTC Price Predictions: 2025, 2030, 2035, 2040 Forecasts

Mia projects Bitcoin could reach $150K by 2025 if institutional demand persists, noting 'Each halving reduces new supply by 50%—the 2024 event will fully impact prices by late 2025.' Long-term, she sees BTC as 'digital gold 2.0,' potentially hitting $1M+ by 2035 if it captures 10% of the global store-of-value market.